Posts Tagged ‘Micro-blogging’

30 predictions for the future of Twitter (via @loic)

November 1st, 2009

@loic gives 34 (not 30) predictions for the future of Twitter – quite accurate !

  1. It will reach masses of people
  2. They won’t use 
the same tools as we do
  3. It will not be only about Twitter
    -status updates will be open across social software
    -all social software will have status updates
    -Facebook has 40+ million updates a day
  4. Twitter will still be dominant
 in status updates
    it’s the motherboard on which we plug in
  5. We will laugh thinking we were updating them all manually
  6. The social graph will also open up
  7. Twitter will be big to get an idea of a person or a brand reputation
    not by number of followers but mostly influence with retweeting and lists
    lets you think like that person thinks
  8. Twitter will replace SMS for millions of people
    -it is portable and archives across devices
    -you don’t need to remember a phone number
    -you are not tied to a mobile operator
  9. Twitter might replace Chat for many people, too
    -a DM exchange is very similar to a private chat
    -Twitter lists are very similar to a public chat room
  10. Location will be one of the most widespread status update
  11. Private updates will be bigger than public updates
    (my kids say…)
  12. Public ecommerce 
status updates won’t work
    buying things is very intimate
  13. Live reviews of any place and product will deeply influence it though
  14. Promos by brands and retailers will have big success 
for last minute deals
  15. Talking to shops and restaurants via Twitter will become standard
    and will get opt in coupons as we enter a shop, based on location
  16. Web will be a fraction 
of mobile use
  17. Dating over Status updates
won’t be big
  18. Twitter won’t display 
ads in your main feed
  19. Users will get too angry at unsolicited ads
  20. Other revenue opportunities such as pro accounts for businesses will be enough
  21. There will be more devices publishing updates than humans
    wifi scale, planes, trains, cars all posting updates
  22. Corporations will have entire teams devoted to Twitter and status updates
  23. Hyperlocal news sites with Twitter geotagging feature
    (thanks, @stevefarnworth)
  24. Google and Bing will be the dominant ways to search Twitter
  25. Google will have its own Twitter and won’t acquire Twitter
  26. There will be a few alternatives for niche search such as brand monitoring
  27. Internal Enterprise Twitter like services will become standard
  28. Vertical Twitter apps 
will start to appear
  29. Stocktweets is the first one
  30. Twitter will remain mostly used outside of Twitter.com
  31. Language will evolve adapting to 140char, concise, ignore rules (thanks, @bernard_d)
  32. @mentions spam will grow and become a tough to solve issue
  33. There will be less and less bullshit 
in public events and in general
  34. It will always be about you, 
not the tools

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Microblogging Lives: Work, Home, Lunch, Sleep?

September 21st, 2009
Is life so boring ? or is it just micro-bloggers ?
According to a study conducted by the researchers from Helsinki Institute for Information Technology, Google and Elisa the top 5 most frequent microblogging posts are “working,” “home,” “work,” “lunch,” and “sleeping.” Interestingly enough, the study was conducted on a dataset of 400,000 messages in Jaiku, a now largely forgotten Twitter competitor, acquired by Google in October 2007. While Jaiku is very similar to Twitter, it’s nowhere near as popular, and I’d prefer to see the above results confirmed by a similar study on Twitter and Facebook. An older study, compiled by the lexicographers of Oxford University Press, was based on a sampling of 1.5 million tweets, and it paints a slightly different picture. It shows the 500 most frequent words on Twitter, and while “work”, “sleep”, “home” and “lunch” are definitely there, they aren’t nearly the most frequently used words, even if you look at nouns and verbs only. For example, “love” is more frequently used than the four words mentioned above. So, there is still hope for us tweeple; yes, most of the posts on Twitter are mundane, but it’s the interesting stuff that we’re coming back for, and there’s no shortage of that if you follow the right people. Still, the Finnish study does confirm the theory that a small portion of microbloggers receive far more attention and exert far more influence than the majority. According to the study, “a small supercore of the Jaiku population receives over 50% of all comments in the system, while a large part of newcomers found it hard to build and keep an audience and dropped out quite soon after registering.” This is in accordance with an earlier Twitter study which had showed that 60% of Twitter users quit within the first month. But it also ties in to what is said above: if you have a good reason to tweet, and if your tweets are interesting, you’ll probably have no shortage of followers.
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